Friday, March 10, 2017

$20 - the New Threshold for Premium Wines?


When Carol from Duckhorn talked about the pricing strategy for her company, she underlined how they decided that $20 would be the minimum price of the wine sold by any Duckhorn brand, in order to protect the brand reputation.

According to the traditional classification of wine per price (often seen in class), premium wines start at above $7. However, given the rising prices of Californian wine, is it reasonable to consider the “old” threshold of $7 for premium wines too low? The following table shows that in 2002 30% of wines sold were above $7. That seems a high percentage for a product which is supposed to be premium. It could be time to revisit the traditional pricing segmentation [1].
[1]



As I consider myself a non-premium wine drinker, I reflected on my purchasing patterns and on Duckhorn’s $20 threshold. I realized that I hardly buy any bottle above $20, but I do buy bottles which cost above $7 quite often and, occasionally, above $14. Looking at numerous K&L newsletters which I receive, I often notice a concentration of wines at the $19.99 price point. Above 19.99$, prices tend to escalate quite quickly.



Special K&L February 2017 newsletter on Burgundy



It appears that (in 2013) only 5% of US families buy wine above the $20 price point, and those people are the same one that buy $30, $50 and $100+ prices bottles of wine [2].

The market may have shifted towards considering $20 as the threshold between an affordable (maybe still not everyday) wine and a premium offering, and in that case wineries should price-position their offering accordingly, considering if they want to be present in the sub-premium market, or exclusively in the premium segment.
I would be curious to see how the sub categories (super premium and ultra premium) would be defined given this new price point.



Sources:


2 comments:

  1. Very interesting analysis Sebastiano! definitely curious to see how this shifts the entire chain. The semantics here are so misleading!

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  2. Just to throw it out there, as the resident central banking nerd, if you take the $7 and $14 cutoffs from 2002 and inflation-adjust them for today's dollars you actually get ~$10 and ~$20, respectively!

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