Major assumptions:
- For simplicity, i've abstracted from Grand vin and Second wine, and averaged their production cases and prices.
- Critic scores are correlated with prices, and for every 1-pt increase in the average critic score, there is an assumed 7% increase in prices.
- There is no boost from reducing variability in critic scores
- Biodynamism costs $2k/hectare, and 2% of revenues
- All other operating expenses, except for bottling costs, are kept constant
Based on the above, and ignoring other unknowns / intangibles, it appears that their current approach maximizes their profits. A few thoughts:
- perhaps the increase in price is nonlinear relative to critic scores,
- decrease in variability in critic scores increase the prestige and hence prices might also increase
- lower case production creates scarcity value
Looking forward to discussing more in class! (happy to share the excel if you'd like to take a look)
Please do send your excel model Yen so I can share it with the case author. Thank you!
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